Posts Tagged ‘annual budget deficits’

CHOOSING A PRESIDENT: DONALD TRUMP?

On November 8, 2016 Americans made a decision that was one of the most important in the history of the United States: electing for Donald Trump to be the President of the United States.  Many believe that politics is stupid because of all of the partisan bickering that goes on.  That may or may not be true, but it’s irrelevant…our President makes decisions that affect not only us, but our children, grandchildren, and many others around the world.

Based on the controversy of this Presidential election, I developed the following non-partisan criteria for selecting a President.  I came up with them after looking at everyone else’s and concluding that they were inadequate.  My qualifications for doing this are: I followed politics for over 60 years, my Masters degree from the University of Pennsylvania is in Government Administration, and I’ve worked for the Federal, State and local governments for 44 years.  My 6  criteria for choosing a President are listed below and are prioritized and listed in the order of their importance (#1 is the most important and #6 the least important).

1. POSITIONS ON ISSUES:  this criterium might also be called “ideology”  and is really the most important reason why one should select one presidential candidate over another.

2. EXPERIENCE: there is no job exactly like the presidency but there are some jobs that provide relevant experience.  It’s not a coincidence that seventeen of our U.S. Presidents have been Governors of a State.  Being a Governor provides the best experience  for the presidency, however any executive or managerial experience is relevant and useful.  High-level military experience is good.  Legislative and legal experience is also useful.  Check out accomplishments.

3. EDUCATION: A masters degree in either Government or Business Administration is probably the most relevant education a President could have.  A law degree is helpful.  Business education is helpful.

4. OPEN-MINDEDNESS:  In U.S. politics, the politician is either on the left or the right and this ideology  can be constraining at times for finding the best solutions to a problem or dilemma, so willingness to “going-across-the-aisle” and being good listener can be a great asset for a president.

5. INTEGRITY: one of the important qualities but not so common in many politicians.  This is important because the President may ask us to go to war or to make some other sacrifice, so we need to be able to trust him or her and not think that whatever is being done is for political purposes.

6. PUBLIC SPEAKING and CHARISMA: for his “bully pulpit” duties, a President would be well-served by being a master of the spoken word…and if he or she is charismatic as well, so much the better.

You may agree or disagree with my 6 criteria or perhaps you simply may want to add a few more.  Whatever…but it is important to have criteria (or standards) to use, otherwise you’ might do what many people do: vote solely by political party, vote because of something irrelevant like age, gender, physical appearance, ethnicity, race, or emotions.  While most elections don’t matter that  much, the 2016 Presidential election was one of the most important in U.S. history, and the 2020 Presidential election will also be very important because in his second term President Trump I predict will mostly eliminate annual budget deficits and devise a plan and strategy to pay down the National debt if both the Senate and House have Republican majorities.

It used to be relatively easy to carefully consider my aforementioned six criteria in judging presidential candidates.  With today’s partisan media, it’s very difficult, but it can be done with great effort.  The fate of the U.S. depends on it.

 

HOW WILL PRESIDENT TRUMP ELIMINATE ANNUAL FEDERAL BUDGET DEFICITS?

The United States government currently owes over $21 trillion, called the National Debt.   Each year the National Debt is increased by the amount of money the government overspends that year, which is over the amount it collects.  This amount is called the Annual Budget Deficit. When President Obama took office, the National Debt was $9 trillion.  When he left office it was almost $20 trillion.  President Trump continued having hefty budget deficits, mostly because of the higher interest rates on U.S. Treasury bonds that the government is paying, in addition to the cost of bringing back the military to be combat-ready, which had significantly weakened by the underfunding by the Obama Administration.  Consequently, at some point in the next few years, the Federal government may not be able to afford to pay interest on the ever-increasing  National Debt.

This problem is probably the most serious, long-term, one that the U.S. faces.  President Trump is fixing every one of the country’s serious problems (though you would never know it from the pitiful biased Main-Stream Media which simply doesn’t report it) so what does he plan to do about this  upcoming financial disaster?  Here’s what he will do, starting now and ending the last year of his 8-year presidency:

President Trump is significantly increasing revenues to the Federal government by stimulating the business environment in the United States, which has increased the number of people working and the revenues from their taxes, even at reduced tax rates.  He’s also making Americans more prosperous by reducing their tax load and eliminating unnecessary, job-killing Federal regulations.  Most recently, he’s cutting 5% from all Federal Departments.  I initially thought that in a few years the U.S. might not even have a deficit, but with the Federal Reserve continuing to increase interest rates on U.S. Treasury bonds, the interest on the National Debt is much higher today (over 3 %) than it was when Obama was President ( approx. 1 % ).  This translates into the government paying hundreds of billions more for interest on the National Debt than it had been paying only two years ago, and this makes it much more difficult for the government to eliminate its annual budget deficits.

Despite the Federal Reserve increasing interest rates, however, I believe President Trump will still eliminate annual government budget deficits, estimated to be about $779 billion in fiscal year 2020, and perhaps also start paying down the National Debt by the end of his second term, with one caveat.  Trump must have a Republican House of Representatives and a Republican Senate in order to put the U.S. financial house in order.  Democrat leaders will do anything to make Trump fail, including preventing his straightening out the economy, trade, and joblessness.

In the final phase of eliminating annual budget deficits, President Trump will eliminate useless and duplicative Federal programs and pare down programs that have shown only meager results.  This will be unpopular with the general public and that ‘s why he’ll do most of it near the end of his presidency.  How do I know what President Trump will do and when?  Here’s how:

  1. I went to the same school as President Trump, the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania, though my Masters was from the FEls Government Center, which back when I graduated (1972) was in the Wharton School.  My focus was on government, not finance, but there still was some commonality between the two programs though Trump became a billionaire and I became a Federal employee.
  2. I’ve followed politics for 60 years, beginning with the Kennedy-Nixon TV debates, and have worked for the federal government for over 40 years, a city government for over a year and a State government for less than a year.
  3. I’ve followed Trump beginning a year before he became President.  I know why he does what he does and can explain most of his actions, unlike the pitiful biased mainstream media.

CAN REPUBLICANS AND CONSERVATIVES TALK?

Conservative policies work well:  under Ronald Reagan, the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the United States almost doubled in the ten years following the day his tax rate reductions went into effect; and Reagan’s build-up of the military and his “star wars” project led to the break-up of the Soviet Union, as well as the U.S. ability to shoot down missiles with missiles (despite ardent  continuous opposition by the Democrat Party to prevent its development).

The aforementioned are just two examples of many conservative policies that have turned around the U.S..  If you include the States, conservative policies have turned around the economies of every State where they have been tried.  One need simply look at States with Democratic governors and compare them to States with Republican governors to see the drastic differences between the two.

Why, then, do Democrats win any elections?  I contend that it’s because Republicans can’t talk very well (and often are not politically astute as well).  How do I know? Twenty-three years in Toastmasters, International, giving 275 prepared speeches, giving 500+ extemporaneous speeches, 500+ speech evaluations, etc.  Morever, in my various positions with the Federal Government I’ve given scores of presentations.  In addition, as a teenager and young adult in the Boy Scouts and as a counselor and Unit Leader at summer camps, I’ve given hundreds of presentations.  I’m also a political junkie who loves and follows politics and who also has a Masters degree in Government Administration (MGA) from the University of Pennsylvania.  That makes me qualified.  Now let’s look at a few examples of what I mean by poor political Republican speech:

1)The Republican Party has “tax cuts” as one of the policies its candidates run on.  The Democratic Party turns this into a slogan that Republicans want “tax cuts for the rich.”  What should the Republican Party do?  My first suggestion is to modify the slogan to accurately state “tax cuts for everyone who pays taxes.”  And since 1/2 the country doesn’t understand why the government would cut taxes when you need more money, I suggest the slogan be “cuts of tax RATES for everyone so that commerce and its revenues to the government increase and grow.”

2)Most Americans don’t know the difference between budget deficits and the National debt.  So when President Obama talks about reducing the deficit (by raising it to over a $ trillion and then cutting it in half), Republicans need to be articulate by referring to annual budget deficits which are then added each year to the total national debt.

Looking to real examples…the Republican Primary debates in 2016 that were held in Cleveland and hosted by Fox News, with help from Facebook, provide great examples of the adroit and articulate use of language in order to be clear in what you mean: Carly Fiorina in every comment she made, Marco Rubio in everything he said, John Kasich on explaining his views on gay Americans, Mike Huckabee in explaining why Social Security benefits should not be cut, Chris Christie shouting down Rand Paul on NSA surveilance, Donald Trump saying that you need a man like me to eliminate the $19 trillion National debt.

Of course Donald Trump became the Republican Presidential nominee in the 2016 General Election and subsequently elected President of the United States.  Although he wasn’t great as a communicator, Secretary Hillary Clinton was worse.

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