PEACE IN UKRAINE?

My book, “Proud to be American,” is on sale for $17.95 at Amazon and Barnes and Noble.  It’s a 330-page paperback with 70 articles in nine categories with 70 photos. This well-researched book clarifies numerous important National, International, and Domestic issues that Mainstream Media does not report on accurately or at all. Moreover, it has a provocative introduction and conclusion.

Vladimir Putin, President of Russia, had 200,000 Russian troops invade Ukraine on three sides beginning on February 24, 2022.  Why did Putin invade Ukraine and what did he want? He has said that he really wanted assurances that Ukraine would never be admitted as a member of NATO.  The U.S. had told him that decision was up to NATO and Ukraine, not the United States, and also signed a November 10, 2021, agreement to protect Ukraine.  However, Putin also said that he wanted to reconstitute the former Soviet Union and allegedly had a military second only to the United States (so his threat needed to be taken seriously).  Moreover, Putin saw how a weak President Biden left behind in Afghanistan hundreds of Americans, tens of thousands of Afghans that assisted the U.S., $85 billion in military equipment, a huge military base close to China… and therefore could invade Ukraine without concern that the United States would intervene.

Ukrainians have been courageously and fiercely defending their country against overwhelming odds initially using American Javelin missiles to destroy Russian tanks and American Stinger missiles to destroy Russian helicopters and planes and then large numbers of drones that it continuously improved. In 1994, the U.S and Russia had guaranteed Ukraine that it would be protected if it gave up its nuclear weapons.  It unwisely gave them up and consequently made Ukraine much more vulnerable.  At the start of the war civilians were given weapons and taught how to make Molotov Cocktails.  Early in the war Ukrainian president, Volodymyr Zelensky, rallied many countries in the world to assist Ukraine with weapons, cash, and volunteers to defend themselves against the Russian military.  The United States, however, was Ukraine’s largest defender.  Ukraine is still being slowly destroyed every day with constant artillery, missiles and bombs but Ukraine now has the upper hand with its drones destroying Russia’s energy facilities and killing many more Russian soldiers than Russia is killing Ukrainian soldiers.

President Biden had demonstrated weakness and incompetence, but also, in the time that Joe Biden had been President, a barrel of oil increased in price from about $40/barrel to about $100/barrel (but now the price of oil has retreated back to $80/barrel, up from $65 under Trump because of the Iranian war). $100-oil enriched Russia to the extent that it could afford to have Russia’s military attack Ukraine. $100-oil enabled Russian aggression due to: 1)Biden preventing any new leases on U.S. Federal lands for oil and gas exploration and drilling; 2)Biden stopping the Keystone and other oil and gas pipelines; 3)Biden stopping any oil and gas exploration and drilling in Alaska; 4)Biden significantly increasing fees for drilling on existing leases on Federal lands; 5)Biden stopping off-shore drilling; and, 6)Biden stopping fracking.  Although the rationale for President Biden’s actions were climate change, the world was not technologically ready to cease using fossil fuels.  It might be in about 40 years.  The U.S. had “jumped the gun” and paid the price in massive inflation as well as some of our adversaries, Russia, Iran, Venezuela, being enriched by the high price of oil.

CAN PEACE BE ACHIEVED?

If the United States began arming Ukraine when Russia began moving troops to the Ukraine border in April 2021, the war might have been prevented.  Now, a negotiated settlement is probably the most likely end of the war.  However, things could get a lot worse first, with poison gas and tactical nuclear weapons. It’s in everyone’s interests to end this war since hundreds of thousands Ukrainians and Russians have been killed as I write this post.  In addition, Ukraine is running out of fighters with old men and young teenagers joining the war.

Is peace even possible since Ukraine wants all of the Ukrainian land back and Russia wants to keep Crimea and Eastern Ukraine. It might be possible if each gets enough of what they want to compromise and strike a deal.  However, this is unacceptable to Ukraine…it wants all of its land back.  Moreover, it might be a very bad message to send to dictators, allowing Russia to keep their ill-gotten gains.  So what’s to be done?

The U.S. is coercing Ukraine and Russia to negotiate peace, most likely giving Russia some Ukrainian land.  The fastest and least provocative way to assist in ending this war is for the U.S. to become energy independent again, which it has done. This drove down the world price of oil at which point Russia will no longer be able to afford to continue the war. However, if Putin is not careful, Ukraine might end up defeating Russia and Putin might be assassinated.

 

Donald J. Trump: A TOUGH PRESIDENT FOR TOUGH TIMES?

My book, “Proud to be American” is on sale now at Amazon or can be ordered at any bookstore for $17.95.  It’s a 330-page paperback with 70 articles in nine categories and with 70 photos.  The book analyzes national, international, and domestic problems and also critiques Main stream Media and the far left of the Democrat Party.      #          #           #           #

Today’s world is tough, real tough, with China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea constantly attempting to do harm to the U.S. and its allies.  A tough President is needed to deal with these threats but many politicians are very weak and are not capable of handling them effectively.  On the other hand, President Trump has demonstrated that he stood up to any country that tried to take advantage of the U.S., including China, Russia, Iran, North Korea, as well as Europe and NATO.

To continue examining Donald Trump…he’s a “street fighter”.  “Turning-the-other-cheek” is not for successful politicians in our tough world.  On being elected President, Trump improved his messaging and appointed impressive people to help him develop his policies and lead his Cabinet.  He had a resounding electoral victory over Hillary Clinton in 2016, thanks to his strong backbone and outworking her by far. Upon becoming President, he implemented policies that he advocated during the election, including the strongest economy in 50 years and the lowest unemployment rates ever for African-Americans and Hispanic-Americans.   If he had been re-elected in 2020, he would have gone down in history as being one of our greatest presidents, and possibly would have even taught Republican Senators how to fight hard for what they believe in. In other words, to be tough when warranted.

I believe that most Trump supporters like him for the same reason that I like him: he  has a stiff spine, is not timid, and fights for America first.  When he’s criticized by the Press or political opponents, he doubles-down and fights back even harder.  In addition, Trump’s focus on illegal immigration, the military, healthcare, war on terror, the economy, the China and the North Korean threats, Iran, law and order, etc., touched a nerve with the electorate and he consequently took numerous actions to address all of these.

Failed weak recent Presidential candidates include Mitt Romney, who lost the 2012 Presidential election to President Obama.  He was more than capable, as evidenced by his outstanding performance in his first debate with President Obama.  When viciously attacked by the Obama campaign, he refused to fight back.  Governor Romney’s poor performance came on the heels of Senator John McCain’s poor performance in his 2008 Presidential campaign.  Moreover, it also followed President Bush’s unwillingness to fight back when constantly fraudulently accused by the Left that, “Bush lied, people died” about weapons of mass destruction in Iraq.  Other failed recent weak Presidents include Joe Biden and Barack Obama.

I’m not advocating that the President of the United States engage in foolish struggles on matters that can’t be won, but I also believe in not backing off when Democrats and the Main Stream Media make false allegations or when other countries threaten us.  For example,  President Trump imposed tariffs on Chinese products, placed sanctions on Iran after getting out of the insane Iran deal, got the U.S. out of the ridiculous Paris Climate Accords and the job-killing TPP, and frequently legitimately called fake news (ABC,CBS,NBC, CNN, MSNBC, New York Times, Washington Post, etc.), “fake news”.

America needs Donald Trump to prevent a major war; to stop the massive illegal immigration; to get the price of oil drastically reduced so as to financially hurt U.S. enemies, like Russia and Iran, as well as to drastically reduce inflation.  The time for “Sugar Lips” presidents is over.  The U.S. needs a President who puts fear in the hearts of its enemies, especially Xi and Putin.

IS CLIMATE-CHANGE DUE MOSTLY TO THE SUN OR IS IT MOSTLY MAN-MADE?

My book, “Proud to be American,” can be purchased from Amazon or ordered at most bookstores for $16.95. It contains 68 articles in nine categories with 70 pictures.  The book analyzes national, international, and domestic problems and also critiques Mainstream Media and the Far Left of the Democrat Party.

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Climate change has been controversial since its onset in the 1970s when global cooling was the main concern by environmentalists. Therefore, we need to take a close look at it.  That’s what this post attempts to do.

Climate change, global cooling, or warming: terms that have been politicized to the extent that one has to question the sources of all data and facts cited to prove or disprove: 1) whether global warming, cooling or climate change even exits, and if it does, 2) is it man-made or caused by something else or a combination of both.  Further, if it does exist and is mostly man-made, 3) how bad is it and, 4) can anything be done to significantly stop it if it’s bad enough to warrant being stopped.  If we can answer each of these concerns, then we’ll know what to do, if anything.   Here’s my analysis:

1) Whether the earth is warming, cooling or staying the same basically depends on the point in time you select to compare this year’s  earth’s temperature to.  For example, a few hundred years ago the earth went through a “Little Ice Age” (1280-1850 AD) so of course today’s temperatures would be  warmer than then.  You may cite the melting Arctic glaciers as other evidence of global warming.  OK, but you need to consider that glaciers wax and wane over time and when Arctic ice is waning, Anarctic ice is waxing.  In other words, climate constantly changes (in the “Medieval Warm Period” from 900-1300 AD and it was a few degrees warmer than today’s temperatures).  Over thousands of years the Earth has cooled and gotten warmer and cooled and gotten warmer, etc.  In fact, the Earth has had 5 major Ice Ages over the past 2 billion years,  5 periods of serious global cooling.

2) In the last few hundred years some data suggests that the earth appears to have warmed and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions increased, so a case can be made for there being a correlation between the two.  Remember that correlation doesn’t mean causation.  Scientists do know that there is a significant correlation between Sunspots and weather on earth.  However, how much of the recent warming is due to CO2 and how much is due to Sun spots and Solar Flares is suggested by the fact that although atmospheric carbon dioxide has increased, the earth’s temperature has remained almost the same, which suggests that carbon dioxide has little or no effect on the earth’s temperature.  A 2015 book by George Root, Climate Change Reconsidered, state that only climate change from 1950 to the present may be due to increased CO2 levels but contrary to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) formed under auspices of the UN, the maximum amount of global warming is only plus 0.22 degrees Centigrade per century.

3) Is any global warming, cooling, or climate change cause for alarm and action?  Thus far, it’s been relatively minor and any slight increase in the earth’s temperature is probably a good thing…more crops, better weather.  Of course, the adverse effects  from the previous huge California drought, specifically the lack-of-water problem in California’s Central Valley was 100% man-made by former President Obama’s policy of manipulating stored water for the Delta Smelt, a small fish on the Endangered Species List, rather than use it for the cropland and farmers that lived there and for the thousands of migrant farm workers that helped harvest their crops.  Insofar as extreme weather activity is concerned, the past half-century has seen fewer major hurricanes and extreme tornado activity in the United States.

4) Can anything be done about global warming , cooling or climate change if  it gets really bad in the future?  There are various ways to reverse global warming but not global cooling.  My preference is, if there is global warming,  the geoengineering proposals that seem preferable because they affect every country equally and do not harm any country’s economy.  So what should be done now, if anything?  “Watchful waiting” is in order but everyone needs to endeavor to get global warming or climate change out of politics because it should be solely a matter of science.  The Kyoto Protocols were rejected by the U.S. Senate in 1997 by 95 to 0.  And well they should have been, because the largest polluters, China and India. were exempted.  Moreover, the U.S. withdrew from the Paris Climate Accord because the Accord did nothing to help the environment but would have cost America $3 billion/year that would have been redistributed to other countries.

Recall the “Hockey Stick graph” scandal in which a team led by a professor at the University of Virginia created a graph that eliminated data depicting the Little Ice Age and the Medieval Warm Period  in an effort to support the global warming hypothesis.  Then the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change actually and unbelievably included the misleading graph it in its Third Assessment Report.  Therefore, I believe it prudent to be very skeptical of any data depicting global warming or cooling.  However, if you’re an ardent believer in man-made climate change, you really should focus you efforts on the countries most responsible: China and India.  The U.S., despite its large economy, has done the most in cleaning up the environment.  In addition, if you really want to help the environment, focus your efforts on combatting ocean pollution.

With help from the Sun, the Earth’s climate changes constantly and gets warmer and then cooler.  People contribute some, but for the most part it appears the Sun is responsible.  From my course in meteorology at Penn State University,  I  learned that “yes, climate changes all of the time…that is the very nature of climate…”  However, large sums spent on projects that attempt doing something about it are not warranted until there is solid evidence and that we can significantly do something (unlike the political and do-nothing Paris Climate Accord).  Currently, claims of global warming are: 1) a ruse to give climate-related contracts to friends who will pay back significant sums (“kickbacks”) to politicians; 2) used as a rallying cry by which politicians attract and hold young, idealistic people to vote for them; and 3) the ruse the Left is using to weaken Capitalism.

The November 2018  fourth national climate change assessment by the U.S. Global Change Research Program paints a dire picture, with even larger errors in the upper tropical troposphere.  In addition, Dr. Michaels says that the only accurate climate model is the Russian model and that model shows very little evidence of upcoming climate change so I checked out what the premier and super-qualified expert on climate change (Patrick J. Michaels, PhD in ecological climatology) had to say.  Dr. Michaels states in a November 26, 2018, post in “Climate Depot” that “the draft fourth national assessment (“NA4″) uses a flawed ensemble of models that dramatically over-forecasts warming of the lower troposphere.”  In other words, climate change is very minor.  Other experts say that some data indicates the world is about to enter into a 25-year period of global cooling due to weak Solar Cycles 24 and 25.  Read Cold Sun and Dark Winter by John L. Casey, and chapter 2 (“A Less Giving Sun”) of the book, Twilight of Abundance by David Archibald if you would like to see the research on this.  A Newsweek magazine article, “The Cooling World,” dated April 28, 1975, first addressed global cooling.

To recap, climate and weather are primarily caused by the sun with only a small amount caused by people, so there’s only so much that can be done about it to make any difference.   If anyone says that climate change is “settled science,” you need to know that nothing in science is ever completely settled.  I estimate that about half of all scientists disagree with climate-change being mostly man-made.  Bad weather for a few consecutive years is simply “weather,” whereas bad weather for 15-20 consecutive years is “climate.” Weather changes all of the time.

Everyone should do whatever they can to keep our environment clean.  As far as I can determine, there is no climate emergency and no existential threat from our climate.  The existential threats to the U.S. are from China, Russia, North Korea, and Iran; all of the hoopla is partisan political B.S. (see Swedish professor and world-renowned environmentalist, Bjorn Lomborg’s 2021 book, “False Alarm [how climate change panic costs us trillions, hurts the poor, and fails to fix the planet”]).

 

WHY PUTIN & RUSSIA RESPECT PRESIDENT TRUMP

Vladimir Putin, President of Russia

My book, “Proud to be American”, is on sale for $16.95 at Amazon and Barnes and Noble. It contains 68 articles in nine categories with 70 photos.  It has a provocative introduction and conclusion and provides many analyses that you cannot get from Mainstream Media.

Why in the world would Vladimir Putin be a Trumpster?  Putin used to want a weak America, an appeaser! Trump obviously is not a weak leader so why does Putin like Donald Trump being President of the United State s?  I believe that China is part of the answer to that question and Trump’s assertive, “take-charge” personality is the other part.  China is on the move.  Until recently, its economy routinely grew at about 10%/year.  Its military is expanding exponentially and China has nuclear weapons.  It also has approximately 1.3 billion people, about 4 times t population of the United States (Russia’s population is 143 million).  On the other hand, Russia and China share a border of thousands of miles,  Mother Russia needs a big, strong friend in the event its neighbor to the south becomes aggressive towards it, which China’s phenomenal military build-up makes a distinct possibility.  Moreover, China is concerned about Russia, especially after the Russian militarily annexed Crimea.  President Trump is making the U.S. very strong again which I believe Putin believes he might need at some point, a very strong America, to counter a Chinese threat to Russia.  On the other hand, Kamala Harris’ base (her voters) would not have allowed her to strengthen the military, even if she wanted to do just that.  To place each country in perspective, it’s important to know where each country stands insofar as military spending.  Here’s the stats on annual military spending (for 2024) by the three players:  U.S.: $824 billion;  China, $471 billion; Russia, $140 billion.

When you look on the globe at military conflicts around the world, the common denominator is conflict between countries that share a common border.  Russia and China share about 3,000 miles of border, therefore, even though the U.S. and Russia have not been friends in the past, they now share a common cause (fear of China) which I believe is causing Russia to want closer ties with a strong United States and to keep China a friend rather than an enemy.

While both Russia and China are communist countries and they both have been behaving aggressively (China by building islands in the South China Sea and placing military installations on them),  they have had disputes over their common border.  Beginning March 2, 1969, border skirmishes began and lasted for months with thousands killed.  In the early seventies, President Nixon visited and befriended China to counter the Soviet Russian threat.  It worked and from then until now, China and the United States, though competing economically, were on relatively good terms.  Russia, on the other hand, has been an adversary until recently.  President Trump knows that, so when he compliments Putin by saying that he is a strong leader, he means that he puts his country first, which is what President Trump also does for America.  President Trump and President Putin get along very well because they understand each other..  If their relationship grows even stronger, both the U.S. and Russia will be a lot better off, as well as Ukraine, Europe, and the world.

 

HELLO KAMALA, GOODBYE AMERICA

Democrat nominee, Kamala Harris, after only a few weeks as the nominee, is doing much better than the former Democrat nominee, President Joe Biden, before he withdrew from the 2024 presidential race.  Why, given the fact that the Democrat Party was trying to replace her as the Democrat vice-presidential nominee since she had been less popular than President Biden.  That’s what this post is about.

According to the website, govTrack.com, vice-president Harris had the most far-left, liberal voting record in the Senate when she was a senator.  I heard her speak on TV at least twenty times, and every one of those times she gave her infamous “word salad” and sounded like a fool, though she read a decent teleprompter acceptance speech at the Democrat National Convention on August 22 except for everything she about Donald Trump, which were all lies).  Since becoming a presidential nominee, she changed a few of her policy positions, like being against fracking to being for fracking.  In addition, she has not answered any policy questions as of November 2 and usually speaks from a teleprompter.  I don’t question that she a good person, but I do know that she is not qualified to be commander-in-chief of the military or president of the United States.  So I repeat my question, why is she doing so well?  Here’s my opinion:

Kamala is a Democrat and Main-Stream Media dream candidate for reasons that should not matter, one way or another, she’s (half) black and she’s a women.  In addition, the Main Stream Media, Academia, and Hollywood love anyone who is a far-left Democrat.  Proof?  Just one for now should suffice: Kamala is on the cover of Time magazine although she would not give Time an interview. Finally, Kamala obviously is not Donald Trump so it doesn’t matter to the Left how incompetent or ridiculous her policy positions have been because Trump is unacceptable since he would  shut down all of the Democrat’s devious and criminal power and money schemes.

Now let’s address the “goodbye America” that I included in the title to this post.  Why “goodbye America’?  Here’s why I think:

The very best predictor of future actions is  past actions!  Kamala’s past speeches and interviews while vice-president as well as her policy positions were terrible, and as attorney general of California she jailed many black men for simply possessing marijuana to improve her prosecutions record. Her followers are low-information or misinformation voters and have no idea about her former policy positions and speeches (Main Stream Media does not report anything that makes Democrats look bad).  Her staff as vice-president had a 92% turnover rate because of how badly she treated them.

Moreover, Harris has no foreign policy experience.  She was part of an Administration that opened up our borders to people from all over the world (at least 10,000,000), added over 20% inflation for their time in office, destroyed many businesses with their draconian Covid-19 shutdown mandates, were very tough on Israel and Jewish-Americans when they needed the U.S. the most, was part of Biden’s decision to leave Afghanistan on a date certain rather than follow Trump’s plan to make our troops departure “conditions-based”  (which had the unintended consequences of Russia invading Ukraine, Hamas invading Israel, and China threatening Taiwan). Harris, with the Biden administration, gave Iran billions which enabled it to fund its many terrorist proxies to continue to attack Israel including the horrific slaughter by one of its proxies, Hamas, on October 7, 2024.  Finally, Harris, as vice-president, gave the tie-breaking deciding vote in the Senate to pass multi-trillion bills which led to over 20% total inflation for her time as vice-president.

If elected President of the United States, I believe Kamala Harris would continue her bad policies that led to the aforementioned disasters because, once again, the best predictor of future actions is past actions.  However, the very worst outcome would be the U.S. pulled into a major war within one year of Harris becoming president.

To read about Kamala’s corruption, check out the chapter, “Kamala Harris” in the 2020 book by Peter Schweizer, “Profiles in Corruption.”