When the President initially vetoed the TransCanada Company’s proposed $7 billion Keystone XL Tar Sands Pipeline (also known as the Keystone Gulf Coast Expansion Project), it meant that 830,000 barrels of oil a day would not travel from Alberta, Canada to the Gulf’s oil refineries. Though a politically popular decision with environmentalists, it was very unpopular with construction unions, as well as most Americans.
To counter criticism, some from leaders in his own political party, the President made an appearance in Cushing Oklahoma on March 22, 2013 saying that he would fast-track any required permitting of the 485 miles of pipeline traveling from Cushing down to the Gulf. That part of the proposed pipeline is on privately-owned land so the President couldn’t do much to stop its construction even if he wanted to. Without the northern leg of the pipeline, however, the 830,000 barrels of much-needed oil/day won’t be coming from Canada and this leg of the pipeline the President could and did stop because the pipeline would cross the Canadian-American border.
TransCanada subsequently modified its proposed route through the environmentally-sensitive areas of Nebraska and resubmitted its application. There was not much remaining that was controversial and the U.S. State Department found it to have “no significant impacts on the quality of the human environment,” which is the wording and standard contained in the National Environmental Policy Act of 1969 (NEPA).
The Keystone pipeline is not simply about oil, but also about thousands of jobs (estimated to be 20-40,000 construction and 100,000 indirect jobs) and significant effects on the economy. It’s therefore important to analyze the President’s decision to determine if it’s mostly political or based on science and genuine detriments to the environment, and then to take any appropriate action.
It’s no secret that the far left is anti-fossil fuel because of what it perceives as unacceptable pollution. To this end, the Obama Administration came out with 5 sets of anti-coal regulations which are estimated to cost the United States the loss of over one million jobs. In addition, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is zeroing in on anti-fracking regulations to control the utilization of the huge natural gas reserves (over a 100-years worth) in the U.S.; however, the far-left contends that its opposition to the Keystone Pipeline is mainly because of possible leaks from the line. In addition, Energy Secretary Chu has stated that it would be desirable to have U.S. gas prices at European levels ($8-10/gallon), so that alternative fuels would be more price-competitive.
Carbon emissions in the United States have been drastically reduced over the past 50 years. Autos emit only a tiny fraction of what they used to. Coal-fired power plants have been cleaned up. In contrast, China brings on-line two new coal-fired power plants a week and these plants, unlike U.S. plants, emit lots of pollution. Air pollution knows no boundaries, so it’s a lot less polluting to the earth for the U.S. to burn its coal rather than for China.
Solar and wind sources of energy only supply about 5% of the nation’s energy needs. Hydroelectric supplies less than 10%, nuclear about 19% (France gets 80% of its energy from nuclear). So for the foreseeable future the U.S. still needs fossil fuels. Therefore this dilemma is not really a dilemma at all. If the U.S. cannot get the oil it needs from domestic sources and help improve the economy and create thousands of jobs at the same time, it will get it from foreign sources and give up to $500 billion a year of its wealth to countries that don’t like us and in some instances mean us harm, and to the detriment of the economy as well.
The United States is constantly improving extraction and utilization methods for fossil fuels, while continuing to develop alternative and nuclear energy. The potential for Keystone Pipeline leakage can be mitigated through built-in protective redundancies. Even the original Final Environmental Impact Statement (EIS), prepared pursuant to NEPA, published in late August 2011 after three years of preparation, found “no significant impacts” from the pipeline. If a pipeline oil leak did occur, it’s far easier to stop it and then clean it up, than if a leak occurred from an offshore pipeline.
There’s simply not enough alternative and nuclear energy currently available and it will be decades before there is, so for now we need fossil fuels and the United States has more natural gas, coal, and oil than any other country in the world, but it also has an array of laws and regulations preventing its access and use. The pipeline could be raised off the ground, as was the Alaska pipeline, or it could detour around the major 200,000-square-mile Ogallala or High Plains Aquifer in Nebraska and other surrounding States.
If the United States does not build the Keystone pipeline, Canada will build an oil pipeline to its west coast and the 830,00 barrels of oil a day will be sold to China and an additional 150,000 barrels of oil a day from the Bakken Formation in North Dakota will have to continue to use trucks and rail to haul its oil south to the Gulf refineries rather than simply using a safer Keystone Pipeline to transport it. U.S. gas prices would have consequently been over $5 gallon by now except for the fact that the U.S. economy has been so weak. Contributing to upward price pressure of oil is the “slow-walking” of permitting of wells in the Gulf, not allowing drilling in ANWAR and on most of the Outer Continental Shelf, and by OPEC (Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries), who sets world oil prices based on world supply and demand.
The President delayed a decision on the pipeline until after the 2014 mid-term elections, basically because a large Democrat donor (Tom Steyer) pledged to donate over $50,000,000 to the Democrats if he did so. After the mid-term elections, the Republican-led House of Representatives voted to build the pipeline but the currently-led Senate voted against it. After the new Congress begins in January 2015, however, both the House and Senate will most likely approve it, but then the President will most likely disapprove it. Stay tuned.